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What will be the outcome of international diplomatic actions against Venezuela by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from international bodies such as the United Nations, European Union, or Organization of American States
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Maduro Sworn In for Third Term Until 2031 Amid Opposition Claims of Fraud
Jan 10, 2025, 02:54 PM
On January 10, 2025, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, in power since 2013, was sworn in for a third term, extending his presidency until 2031. The inauguration ceremony took place at the National Assembly in Caracas, where Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez bestowed the presidential sash. Maduro proceeded with the ceremony despite credible evidence of electoral fraud and allegations from the opposition that their candidate, Edmundo González, won the June 28, 2024, election. The opposition accuses Maduro of refusing to release the official vote tallies, known as actas. The inauguration occurred amid widespread protests and international criticism, including demonstrations on the eve of the ceremony. In his speech, Maduro promised that his new term would usher in a period of peace, equality, and democracy.
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Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Recognition of González Urrutia • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro's government • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Calls for new elections • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
New sanctions added • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Sanctions unchanged • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Human Rights Violations • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Democratic Transition • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
European Union • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
None • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Recognition of González by majority • 25%