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What significant geopolitical event will occur between Russia and the U.S. by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military conflict • 25%
Major diplomatic agreement • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
International news outlets, official government statements
Story
Russia Urges Citizens to Avoid Travel to U.S. and Allies Amidst Rising Tensions
Dec 11, 2024, 10:56 AM
The Russian Foreign Ministry has issued a travel advisory urging its citizens to refrain from non-emergency travel to the United States and its satellite states, citing increased confrontation and the risk of detention by American authorities. This comes as relations between Russia and the U.S. are described as teetering on the verge of rupture. Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov mentioned that the Kremlin would consider another prisoner exchange with the U.S. once Donald Trump takes office. Additionally, Russia has sent a request for approval of a new ambassador to the U.S., indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts despite the tensions.
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Alliance formation • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Summit Meeting • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Another prisoner swap • 25%
New sanctions • 25%
Bilateral summit • 25%
No significant action • 25%
High-level diplomatic talks • 25%
Further accusations or retaliations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military buildup • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Another prisoner swap • 25%
Easing of sanctions • 25%
New sanctions • 25%
No major action • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Economic partnership • 25%
Cultural exchange programs • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Peace Talks Initiated • 25%
Increased Military Conflict • 25%
Change in US Policy • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant positive shift • 25%
Minor positive shift • 25%
No shift • 25%
Negative shift • 25%
Nuclear arms control • 25%
Sanctions and trade • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Regional conflicts • 25%