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What political consequences will follow the GOP's legal actions against Cohen by November 2024?
5
Michael Cohen•Donald Trump•Department of Justice•Congress•Jordan•Comer•Judiciary and Oversight Committees•Cohen•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in GOP seats • 25%
Decrease in GOP seats • 25%
No significant change in GOP seats • 25%
Significant lawsuits impacting election outcomes • 25%
Election results, major news outlets
Story
House GOP Refers Trump's Ex-Lawyer Cohen to DOJ for Lying Six Times
May 8, 2024, 07:12 PM
House Republicans have referred Michael Cohen, former attorney for Donald Trump, to the Department of Justice for allegedly lying to Congress. The referral, led by Representatives Jordan and Comer and supported by the Judiciary and Oversight Committees, accuses Cohen of committing perjury six times during his testimonies. This action underscores ongoing tensions and legal challenges surrounding figures associated with the Trump administration.
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Similar markets
Charged with New Crimes • 33%
No Further Legal Consequences • 33%
Civil Penalties or Settlements • 34%
Significantly damaged • 25%
Moderately affected • 25%
Minor or no impact • 25%
Enhanced • 25%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Unexpected positive impact • 34%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Faces new charges • 33%
No new charges • 33%
Legal issues unrelated to testimony arise • 34%
Significantly harms political future • 33%
No significant impact on political future • 33%
Boosts political support • 34%
Significant impact on Republican Party • 25%
Significant impact on Democratic Party • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Impact on individual careers but not parties • 25%