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What percentage of votes will the MK Party secure in 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 20% • 25%
20% to 40% • 25%
40% to 60% • 25%
More than 60% • 25%
Official election results from the South African Electoral Commission
Story
Jacob Zuma Backs New MK Party for Majority Win in Pivotal May 29 Election
May 18, 2024, 08:00 PM
The newly-formed Umkhonto weSizwe (MK) Party, backed by former President Jacob Zuma, is making significant strides in KwaZulu-Natal. The party, which has dismissed allegations of being a Zulu nationalist organization, is aiming for a majority win in the upcoming May 29 election. Zuma's support for the MK Party marks a significant shift as he turns against his former party in their stronghold of Soweto. The MK Party seeks to implement reforms without resistance from opponents if they secure a parliamentary majority. This election is considered the most consequential since the vote to end Apartheid in 1994.
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Increased opposition influence • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Government strengthens position • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 40% • 25%
40% to 45% • 25%
45% to 50% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ruling party retains majority • 33%
Opposition alliance gains majority • 33%
No clear majority • 33%
Increased • 50%
Decreased • 50%
40-45% • 25%
46-50% • 25%
51-55% • 25%
56% or more • 25%
Less than 20% • 25%
20%-30% • 25%
30%-40% • 25%
More than 40% • 25%