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Will ANC regain a parliamentary majority in the next national election by end of 2024?
4
South Africa•African National Congress•ANC•Cyril Ramaphosa•Jacob Zuma•MK•Democratic Alliance•DA•Economic Freedom Fighters•EFF
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results from the South African Electoral Commission
Story
South Africa's ANC Loses Majority for First Time in 30 Years, Faces Coalition Talks
Jun 1, 2024, 12:07 PM
South Africa's ruling African National Congress (ANC) is set to lose its parliamentary majority for the first time since the end of apartheid, based on partial election results. With over 99% of votes counted, the ANC has secured approximately 40.2% of the vote, a significant drop from the 57.5% it achieved in the 2019 elections. This historic loss means the ANC will need to form a coalition government to maintain power. President Cyril Ramaphosa's ANC will enter intense coalition talks with other parties. Former President Jacob Zuma's MK party has emerged as a significant player, securing around 14.8% of the vote, while the Democratic Alliance (DA) and the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) garnered 21.7% and 9.5%, respectively.
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EFF gains majority • 33%
Other party gains majority • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%