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What major diplomatic developments will occur involving Turkey, Syria, Russia, and Iran by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the involved countries or credible international news agencies
Story
Turkey to Reopen Damascus Embassy on December 14 After 12 Years
Dec 13, 2024, 07:15 PM
Turkey will reopen its embassy in Damascus on Saturday, December 14, restoring diplomatic relations with Syria after a 12-year hiatus, Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan announced. Fidan stated that Turkey has been engaged in negotiations with Russia and Iran to ensure a peaceful resolution in Syria and minimize loss of life. He noted that Turkey had seen the risks but the Syrian regime turned its back on the processes Ankara wanted to initiate. Diplomatic staff are heading to Syria and will begin work immediately upon arrival.
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Signing of a trade agreement • 25%
Joint military cooperation announcement • 25%
Cultural exchange program initiation • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Full ambassador appointment • 25%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Humanitarian aid initiative • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full restoration • 25%
Partial restoration • 25%
No restoration • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Failed mediation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Diplomatic normalization • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
