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What changes will occur in U.S. nuclear policy by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Resumption of testing • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduction in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Official U.S. government policy documents or credible news reports
Story
Russia's Sergei Ryabkov Warns of Nuclear Testing Measures Amid Trump's 'Extremely Hostile' Posture
Dec 27, 2024, 08:30 AM
Russia is considering a range of possible measures regarding nuclear testing, as stated by Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov. This statement comes amid concerns over the incoming administration of Donald Trump, which Moscow perceives as having a radical stance on nuclear policy. Ryabkov indicated that Russia would evaluate its options in response to any potential resumption of nuclear tests by the United States. The warning reflects Moscow's view of an 'extremely complicated international situation' and its criticism of Washington's 'extremely hostile' posture. The comments were reported by various outlets, including Kommersant and other international news agencies.
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Decrease enrichment levels • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Increase enrichment levels • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Program dismantled • 25%
Reduced capabilities • 25%
Increased nuclear capabilities • 25%
No change in current policy • 25%
Acceleration of nuclear development • 25%
Continuation with increased transparency • 25%
Complete suspension of nuclear program • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Preemptive strikes • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Enhance nuclear energy use • 25%
Increase in enrichment activities • 25%
Decrease in enrichment activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full compliance with international demands • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Seek international alliances • 25%
Strengthen conventional forces • 25%
Increase nuclear development • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Continuation of current policy • 25%
Complete policy overhaul • 25%
Increased diplomatic engagement • 25%
Cybersecurity initiative • 25%
Other • 25%
Immigration policy change • 25%
Military intervention • 25%