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How will North Korea's nuclear program change by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased nuclear capabilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduced capabilities • 25%
Program dismantled • 25%
Reports from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) or other credible intelligence sources
Story
NATO Warns of Russian Nuclear Tech Transfer to North Korea in Exchange for Troops
Dec 4, 2024, 11:24 AM
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has raised alarms over the transfer of Russian nuclear and missile technology to North Korea, warning of potential threats to international security. Rutte stated that Russia is supporting North Korea's nuclear and ballistic missile programs in exchange for military assistance, including troops, in its ongoing conflict with Ukraine. This exchange, according to Rutte, signifies a concerning development in the geopolitical landscape, highlighting the need for vigilance in international security.
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Increase in ICBM tests • 25%
Development of new nuclear weapons • 25%
Expansion of nuclear facilities • 25%
No new developments • 25%
Increase enrichment levels • 25%
Decrease enrichment levels • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Iran complies with JCPOA limits • 25%
Iran expands nuclear program • 25%
New international agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations with Russia • 25%
Strained relations with China • 25%
Further isolation from the West • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased collaboration with Russia • 25%
Focus on internal security • 25%
Expansion of SOF activities • 25%
Other • 25%
Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Enhance nuclear energy use • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%