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What changes will occur in the military situation in Ukraine following Lavrov's statements by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military activity • 25%
Decreased military activity • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New frontlines established • 25%
Reports from Ukrainian and Russian military or verified international news agencies
Story
Lavrov Rejects Ukraine Truce, Calls for Enforceable Agreements, Ready to Consult Trump
Dec 26, 2024, 08:03 AM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated that an easy resolution to the Ukraine crisis should not be expected. Lavrov emphasized that Russia remains open to negotiations on the conflict but requires serious and concrete proposals. He clarified that Russia is not setting preconditions but demands adherence to previously agreed terms. Lavrov dismissed the possibility of a truce or ceasefire, calling it a "path to nowhere," and accused the West of seeking a ceasefire to allow Kiev to rearm. He stressed that future agreements must include mechanisms to prevent their violation and provide security guarantees for Russia and Europe. Lavrov also noted that Russia has no illusions that Donald Trump's presidency will automatically lead to negotiations but expressed readiness to consult with the Trump administration on Ukraine.
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Significant decrease • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in activity • 25%
Fluctuating levels • 25%
Launch a new offensive • 25%
Defensive operations • 25%
Negotiations for peace • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduced tensions • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New missile test • 25%
Increased troop movements • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No major developments • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
No changes • 25%
Minor changes • 25%
Major changes • 25%
Complete overhaul • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Russian troop presence • 25%
Introduction of new foreign troops • 25%
Use of advanced weaponry • 25%
No major escalation • 25%
Increase conscription • 25%
Seek more international aid • 25%
Initiate peace talks • 25%
Other strategic changes • 25%
Peace Talks Initiated • 25%
Increased Military Conflict • 25%
Change in US Policy • 25%
Other • 25%