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What changes will occur in Palestinian Authority's security policies in Jenin by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased oversight • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Reduction in operations • 25%
Increased operations • 25%
Official policy announcements or credible news reports
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22-Year-Old Palestinian Journalism Student Shatha al-Sabbagh Fatally Shot by Security Forces Sniper in Jenin
Dec 29, 2024, 08:13 AM
Shatha al-Sabbagh, a 22-year-old journalism student, was fatally shot in the head by a sniper from Palestinian security forces in Jenin, a town in the northern West Bank. The incident occurred late on Saturday while she was with her mother and two small children. Her family stated that there were no militants in the area at the time of the shooting. The Palestinian security forces, however, claimed that al-Sabbagh was killed by 'outlaws,' a term they use for local militants. They condemned the shooting and promised to investigate it. The family accused the Palestinian Authority's security forces of becoming 'repressive tools that practice terrorism against their own people,' rather than protecting them from the Israeli occupation. The death of al-Sabbagh has escalated tensions in Jenin, where the Palestinian Authority has been conducting a rare operation against militants.
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Increase in resistance activity • 25%
Significant reduction in resistance activity • 25%
Moderate reduction in resistance activity • 25%
No change in resistance activity • 25%
Militants retain control • 25%
PA regains full control • 25%
Continued conflict with no clear control • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Curfews imposed • 25%
Increased checkpoints • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Increased policy severity • 25%
Policy continuation • 25%
Policy modification • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Other militant groups • 25%
No clear control • 25%