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New military alliances by end of 2024?
5
Saeed Abiyar•Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Israeli•Aleppo•Syria•Abiyar•Khamenei•Iranian•Damascus•Tehran•Hezbollah
Resolution / Starting Odds
New Iran-Syria-Hezbollah alliance • 33%
Iran-Russia alliance • 33%
No new alliances • 34%
Verified announcements from involved countries or major news agencies
Story
Senior IRGC Advisor, Hezbollah Leader Saeed Abiyar Killed in Israeli Airstrike on Sunday in Aleppo
Jun 3, 2024, 04:28 PM
Saeed Abiyar, a senior military advisor for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), was killed in an Israeli airstrike in Aleppo, Syria, on Sunday night. Abiyar was a prominent leader responsible for overseeing military operations and coordination between militias supported by the Khamenei regime. This marks the first elimination of an Iranian figure in Syria since the attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus on April 1, which resulted in the deaths of several senior generals and led to a significant response from Tehran. The airstrike also reportedly killed a group of Hezbollah militias, including a Hezbollah leader.
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Iran • 33%
Syria • 33%
No new alliances • 34%
Strengthening of existing alliances • 25%
Creation of new military alliances • 25%
No significant changes in alliances • 25%
Reduction of military commitments • 25%
Syria-Hezbollah Alliance Strengthens • 33%
Increased Israel-Hezbollah Conflict • 33%
Status Quo Remains • 34%
Indo-Pacific alliance • 25%
NATO response • 25%
ASEAN coalition • 25%
No new alliances • 25%
NATO • 25%
EU • 25%
Bilateral alliances • 25%
No new alliances • 25%
Cuba only • 33%
Cuba and Venezuela • 33%
Cuba, Venezuela, and others • 33%
Cuba • 33%
Venezuela • 33%
Both • 33%
United States • 20%
United Kingdom • 20%
Germany • 20%
Canada • 20%
None • 20%
India • 25%
Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
China • 25%