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What will be the outcome of Russia's moratorium on medium-range systems by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Moratorium lifted • 25%
Moratorium maintained • 25%
Conditional lifting • 25%
No official decision • 25%
Official Russian government statements or credible news reports
Story
Russia Warns South Korea, Considers Deploying Oreshnik Missiles in Asia
Nov 25, 2024, 11:56 AM
Russia has issued a stern warning to South Korea against supplying weapons to Ukraine, stating it will respond in every way possible. In a related development, Russia is considering the deployment of medium- and short-range missiles, including Oreshnik missile systems, in Asia if the United States decides to deploy missiles in the region. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov emphasized that there are no restrictions on Russia deploying new medium-range systems, and the fate of Russia's moratorium on such deployments depends entirely on the US approach, according to RIA news agency.
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Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement on missile limitations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement Reached • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Postponed Discussions • 25%
Escalated Tensions • 25%
New arms control agreement • 25%
Increased tensions without agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation to armed conflict • 25%
Talks lead to de-escalation • 25%
Talks lead to increased tensions • 25%
Talks result in new sanctions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased tensions with NATO • 25%
Improved relations with NATO • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Missiles deployed • 33%
Missiles not deployed • 33%
Production halted • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
