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How will Russian nuclear policy change due to U.S. tensions by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia resumes nuclear testing • 25%
Russia strengthens nuclear arsenal without testing • 25%
Russia maintains current policy • 25%
Russia reduces nuclear capabilities • 25%
Official Russian government policy documents or announcements
Story
Russia Considers Resuming Nuclear Tests, Last Conducted in 1990, Amid U.S. Tensions
Nov 30, 2024, 08:32 AM
Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov has stated that Russia is considering resuming nuclear tests in response to U.S. policies, which Moscow perceives as escalating tensions. Ryabkov emphasized that the possibility of conducting such tests remains open, stating, 'This issue is here to stay,' without providing a definitive decision. The last nuclear tests conducted by Russia date back to the Soviet era, with the most recent occurring in 1990. This development comes amid heightened geopolitical tensions between Russia and the United States.
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Increased global nuclear armament • 25%
New nuclear disarmament talks • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions with NATO • 25%
Improved relations with NATO • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Increase in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Decrease in nuclear arsenal • 25%
New deployment strategy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
More aggressive stance • 25%
Less aggressive stance • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Policy remains unclear • 25%
New arms control agreement • 25%
Increased tensions without agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation to armed conflict • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military buildup • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased diplomatic engagement • 25%
Sanctions tightened • 25%
Sanctions eased • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Significant positive shift • 25%
Minor positive shift • 25%
No shift • 25%
Negative shift • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military build-up by NATO • 25%
No significant response • 25%
More aggressive stance • 25%
Maintaining current stance • 25%
Adopting a defensive stance • 25%
Other significant changes • 25%