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What changes, if any, will occur in Israeli government roles by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No changes • 25%
Yariv Levin becomes permanent PM • 25%
New acting PM appointed • 25%
Other significant cabinet reshuffle • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or major news outlets
Story
Israeli PM Netanyahu, 75, Undergoes Prostate Surgery; Justice Minister Steps In
Dec 29, 2024, 01:32 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, 75, is set to undergo surgery to remove his prostate after being diagnosed with a urinary tract infection caused by benign prostate enlargement, according to his office. The surgery is scheduled for Sunday at Hadassah Hospital in Jerusalem, will be conducted under full anesthesia in an underground facility amid concerns of rocket fire, and is expected to last about two hours. Netanyahu will be hospitalized for several days following the procedure. Justice Minister Yariv Levin will serve as acting prime minister during the surgery, and Defense Minister Israel Katz is authorized to convene the security cabinet if necessary.
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Change in military policy • 25%
New Prime Minister • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Resignation of IDF Chief • 25%
Resignation of a key government minister • 25%
No leadership change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Upgraded missile defense systems • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Prime Minister replaced • 25%
Defense Minister replaced • 25%
Both replaced • 25%
No change • 25%
Change in Hamas leadership • 25%
No change • 25%
Change in Israeli leadership • 25%
Change in both • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Steps down voluntarily • 25%
Remains as Prime Minister • 25%
Replaced by party decision • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Other • 25%
Likud party member • 25%
Independent candidate • 25%
Current interim minister remains • 25%
Opposition party member • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other significant policy change • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Policy expansion • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%