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What actions will countries involved in the Beirut incident take by May 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Lebanon issues travel restrictions • 25%
Syria issues travel advisories • 25%
Egypt denies entry to Assad family members • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Official statements from involved countries or credible news sources
Story
Assad Relatives, Including Duraid al-Assad's Wife and Daughter, Arrested at Beirut Airport Attempting to Flee to Cairo with Fake Passports; Syrian Embassy Suspends Services
Dec 29, 2024, 08:00 AM
Two relatives of Bashar al-Assad, the former Syrian president, were arrested at Beirut Airport while attempting to flee Lebanon using allegedly forged passports. The detainees include the wife and daughter of Duraid al-Assad, a cousin of Bashar al-Assad, who were reportedly planning to travel to Cairo, Egypt. This incident has prompted the Syrian embassy in Lebanon to suspend its consular services until further notice, following instructions from the Syrian Foreign Ministry. The embassy has advised expatriates in Lebanon to monitor its official page for updates regarding the resumption of consular activities. This suspension comes amid heightened scrutiny as Lebanese authorities investigate the issuance of fake passports linked to the Assad family members.
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UN intervention • 25%
No international response • 25%
EU diplomatic efforts • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
Increased US involvement • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
No significant intervention • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Other response • 25%
Arab League mediation • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
Increased Pressure on Israel • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Call for Renewed Ceasefire • 25%
Increased Support for Lebanon • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
EU sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Joint resolution condemning actions • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN sanctions on both • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sever diplomatic ties with Israel • 25%
File complaint to the United Nations • 25%
Support • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
US diplomatic pressure • 25%
EU mediation • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%