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What actions will ByteDance take in response to U.S. government pressure by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sell U.S. assets • 25%
Move data storage out of China • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance and TikTok
Story
DOJ Accuses TikTok and ByteDance of Collecting Sensitive User Data, Defends Law to Force Sale or Ban Over National Security Concerns
Jul 27, 2024, 10:30 AM
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has accused TikTok of collecting data on American users' views on sensitive topics such as gun control, abortion, and religion. The DOJ claims that TikTok, under the direction of its China-based parent company ByteDance, censored content and stored user data in China. This has raised significant concerns about national security and content manipulation. In a court filing on Friday, the DOJ is defending a law that would either force TikTok to divest its U.S. assets or face a ban. The law aims to prevent China from using TikTok to gather data on U.S. users or spread propaganda. TikTok has filed a lawsuit against the legislation, arguing that it violates First Amendment rights.
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Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Partnership with U.S. company • 25%
Legal action against U.S. government • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sell TikTok's US operations • 25%
Implement stricter privacy measures • 25%
Fight the lawsuit in court • 25%
Other • 25%
Divest ownership • 25%
Seek further legal action • 25%
Comply without divestiture • 25%
No action taken • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok • 25%
TikTok operations suspended • 25%
Other action • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
Seek further legal action • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Other response • 25%
Divests TikTok • 25%
Does Not Divest • 25%
Finds Alternative Solution • 25%
Awaiting Supreme Court Decision • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Divestiture announced but not completed • 25%
No divestiture • 25%
Legal challenge delaying divestiture • 25%
ByteDance divests TikTok's U.S. assets • 25%
ByteDance does not divest TikTok's U.S. assets • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok to a U.S. company • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok through legal means • 25%
Divest US assets • 33%
No divestment • 33%
Partial divestment • 33%
Relocate operations • 25%
Seek legal action • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Complete divestment • 25%
Partial divestment • 25%
No divestment • 25%
Extension granted • 25%