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What will be the outcome of the DOJ's accusations against TikTok and ByteDance by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok divests U.S. assets • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok wins the lawsuit • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements, court rulings, and legal documents
Story
DOJ Accuses TikTok and ByteDance of Collecting Sensitive User Data, Defends Law to Force Sale or Ban Over National Security Concerns
Jul 27, 2024, 10:30 AM
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has accused TikTok of collecting data on American users' views on sensitive topics such as gun control, abortion, and religion. The DOJ claims that TikTok, under the direction of its China-based parent company ByteDance, censored content and stored user data in China. This has raised significant concerns about national security and content manipulation. In a court filing on Friday, the DOJ is defending a law that would either force TikTok to divest its U.S. assets or face a ban. The law aims to prevent China from using TikTok to gather data on U.S. users or spread propaganda. TikTok has filed a lawsuit against the legislation, arguing that it violates First Amendment rights.
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Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
No significant action • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests TikTok • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
Other • 25%
Appeal Successful • 25%
Appeal Unsuccessful • 25%
Partially Successful • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Financial penalty • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
No consequences • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok settles • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
TikTok found guilty • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok found guilty • 25%
TikTok settles • 25%
TikTok found not guilty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fine imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions imposed • 25%
Ban imposed • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Fine • 25%
Dismissal • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Lawsuit filed • 33%
Settlement reached • 33%
No action taken • 34%
TikTok Banned • 25%
TikTok Not Banned • 25%
ByteDance Divests TikTok • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
TikTok settles • 25%
TikTok loses • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%