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US policy changes towards Russia and China by end of 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased sanctions • 25%
Reduced sanctions • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Official US government policy statements or documents
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Lavrov Claims France Proposed Dialogue with Russia on Ukraine Without Kyiv Involvement Amid US Policy to Eliminate Competitors
Dec 26, 2024, 09:19 AM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated that France has proposed multiple times, through closed channels, to establish a dialogue with Russia regarding Ukraine without the involvement of Kyiv. This assertion highlights a contrast between France's private overtures and its public stance on the conflict. Lavrov emphasized that the West, particularly the United States, is attempting to eliminate competitors like Russia and China, describing these actions as 'crystal clear.' He also noted that the West's diplomatic approach is characterized by threats and sanctions. Lavrov pointed out that despite these pressures, the EU has acknowledged its failure to isolate Russia, as indicated by former EU Foreign Policy Chief Josep Borrell. He concluded that the world is shifting towards a multipolar structure, which will require Western nations to adapt to a loss of dominance.
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Military buildup • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Cybersecurity measures • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Economic partnership • 25%
Cultural exchange programs • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Alliance formation • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Reduced aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased aid to Ukraine • 25%
Withdraw support • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
New diplomatic agreements • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Other response • 25%
Increase in military presence in Indo-Pacific • 25%
New military alliances • 25%
Further Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued Suspension • 25%
Reengagement • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Status quo • 25%