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Impact of US support on Taiwan's international standing by 2024
5
Taiwan•China•Taiwanese•Lai•United States•Biden•State Department•House Foreign Affairs Committee•Michael McCaul•Taiwan Strait•Sean Bell
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly strengthened • 33%
Somewhat strengthened • 33%
Unchanged • 33%
Analysis from global foreign policy think tanks
Story
Taiwan's New President Lai Ching-te Faces Chinese Military Drills, US Reaffirms Support with McCaul Visit
May 27, 2024, 12:07 AM
Following the inauguration of Taiwan's new President Lai Ching-te on May 20, China has conducted extensive military drills around Taiwan, including mock videos of missile attacks on Taiwanese cities. Despite the heightened military activity, President Lai has extended goodwill and cooperation toward China. The United States has reaffirmed its support for Taiwan, with President Biden and the State Department voicing concerns over China's actions during a routine democratic transition. A bipartisan U.S. congressional delegation, led by House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Michael McCaul, visited Taiwan to discuss regional security, trade, and investment, signaling strong U.S. support for Taiwan's defense and stability in the Taiwan Strait. Military analyst Sean Bell noted that China's actions appear to be testing Taiwan's defensive capabilities.
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Strengthen existing alliances • 33%
Weaken existing alliances • 33%
Form new alliances • 34%
Support from Western Allies • 25%
Neutral Reactions • 25%
Criticism from China • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 33%
No significant change in relations • 33%
Relations deteriorate • 34%
Formal defense treaty • 33%
Increased military support • 33%
Continued strategic ambiguity • 34%
Strengthened Position • 33%
Unchanged Position • 33%
Weakened Position • 33%
Supportive • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Opposed • 34%
Broad international support for China • 25%
Mixed international reaction • 25%
Broad international support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Status quo • 33%
Increased autonomy • 33%
Annexation by China • 34%
No conflict • 33%
Limited skirmishes • 33%
Full-scale conflict • 34%