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Public opinion shift on gun control following SCOTUS ruling by 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in support for gun control • 33%
Decrease in support for gun control • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Public opinion polls and surveys
Story
Supreme Court Upholds 1994 Federal Law Banning Guns for Domestic Abusers in 8-1 Decision
Jun 21, 2024, 02:37 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has upheld a federal law that prohibits individuals under domestic violence restraining orders from possessing firearms. The ruling, which was decided by an 8-1 vote, marks a significant decision in the Court's interpretation of the Second Amendment. Chief Justice John Roberts authored the majority opinion, while Justice Clarence Thomas was the lone dissenter. The decision reverses a previous ruling by the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals and is seen as a victory for the Biden administration. This ruling upholds provisions of a 1994 law aimed at protecting victims of domestic violence and may unsettle the Court's prior Bruen decision, which expanded gun rights in 2022. The case in question is U.S. v. Rahimi.
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Similar markets
More supportive of gun control • 25%
Less supportive of gun control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased polarization • 25%
Increase in support for gun control • 25%
Decrease in support for gun control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
Increased Support • 33%
Decreased Support • 33%
No Significant Change • 34%
Increase in support for regulation • 25%
Decrease in support for regulation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
Increased support for gun control • 25%
Decreased support for gun control • 25%
No significant change in opinion • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase Support for Regulation • 33%
Decrease Support for Regulation • 33%
No Significant Change • 33%
More support for regulations • 33%
Less support for regulations • 33%
No significant change • 34%
More supportive • 25%
Less supportive • 25%
No change • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
New federal gun regulations • 25%
State-level changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
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More support for regulation • 25%
Less support for regulation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased polarization • 25%
Majority support regulation • 33%
Majority oppose regulation • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Majority support decision • 25%
Majority oppose decision • 25%
Evenly split opinion • 25%
Other outcome • 25%