Loading...
Market
New state-level gun control measures enacted due to SCOTUS ruling by 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
State legislative records and news reports
Story
Supreme Court Upholds 1994 Federal Law Banning Guns for Domestic Abusers in 8-1 Decision
Jun 21, 2024, 02:37 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has upheld a federal law that prohibits individuals under domestic violence restraining orders from possessing firearms. The ruling, which was decided by an 8-1 vote, marks a significant decision in the Court's interpretation of the Second Amendment. Chief Justice John Roberts authored the majority opinion, while Justice Clarence Thomas was the lone dissenter. The decision reverses a previous ruling by the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals and is seen as a victory for the Biden administration. This ruling upholds provisions of a 1994 law aimed at protecting victims of domestic violence and may unsettle the Court's prior Bruen decision, which expanded gun rights in 2022. The case in question is U.S. v. Rahimi.
View original story
Similar markets
Strengthen state laws • 25%
Weaken state laws • 25%
No impact • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
New federal gun regulations • 25%
State-level changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other changes • 25%
California • 25%
New York • 25%
Texas • 25%
Florida • 25%
Increase in state regulations • 25%
Decrease in state regulations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Increase in state regulations • 25%
Decrease in state regulations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Most states adopt similar regulations • 25%
Most states oppose or challenge regulations • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No significant state action • 25%
0-5 states • 25%
6-10 states • 25%
11-15 states • 25%
More than 15 states • 25%
More supportive of gun control • 25%
Less supportive of gun control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased polarization • 25%
Uphold new restrictions • 33%
Strike down new restrictions • 33%
No significant ruling • 34%
Increased legal challenges • 25%
Revised gun control laws • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Increase in state regulations • 25%
Decrease in state regulations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%