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How will public opinion on gun control shift post-Supreme Court decision by Dec 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in support for gun control • 25%
Decrease in support for gun control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
National public opinion polls and surveys
Story
Supreme Court to Decide on Biden's Ghost Gun Regulations in Garland v. VanDerStok
Oct 8, 2024, 10:10 AM
The US Supreme Court is set to hear a pivotal case on Tuesday, challenging the Biden administration's regulation of 'ghost guns.' These firearms, which can be assembled at home using kits or 3D printers, lack serial numbers and are difficult to trace. The case, Garland v. VanDerStok, will determine the legality of a 2022 rule requiring these gun kits to have serial numbers and for purchasers to undergo background checks. Major American cities have reported a reduction in the use of ghost guns since the implementation of the regulation. The outcome of this case, the first major one of the term, could have significant implications for the firearms industry and federal gun control measures. The court will also address key administrative law questions during the oral argument.
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Similar markets
More supportive of gun control • 25%
Less supportive of gun control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased polarization • 25%
Increase in support for regulation • 25%
Decrease in support for regulation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
Increase in support for gun control • 33%
Decrease in support for gun control • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Majority support decision • 25%
Majority oppose decision • 25%
Evenly split opinion • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased support for gun control • 25%
Decreased support for gun control • 25%
No significant change in opinion • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
More support for regulation • 25%
Less support for regulation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased polarization • 25%
Increase Support for Regulation • 33%
Decrease Support for Regulation • 33%
No Significant Change • 33%
Majority support regulation • 33%
Majority oppose regulation • 33%
No significant change • 34%
New federal gun regulations • 25%
State-level changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other changes • 25%
More supportive • 25%
Less supportive • 25%
No change • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Increased Support • 33%
Decreased Support • 33%
No Significant Change • 34%
More support for regulations • 33%
Less support for regulations • 33%
No significant change • 34%