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Primary diplomatic consequence between Russia and Azerbaijan by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased tensions • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official diplomatic communications or statements from either government
Story
Putin Apologizes for Azerbaijan Plane Crash in Russian Airspace Killing 38
Dec 28, 2024, 03:11 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has apologized to Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev for a "tragic incident" involving the crash of Azerbaijan Airlines Flight J2-8243, an Embraer 190 aircraft, in Kazakhstan on December 25, which killed 38 people. During a telephone conversation on December 28, Putin expressed condolences, acknowledging that the crash occurred in Russian airspace when Russian air defenses were active against Ukrainian drones. The Kremlin did not confirm whether the aircraft was shot down, and Putin stopped short of admitting direct responsibility for the incident.
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Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Compensation agreement • 25%
Formal apology from Russia • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic relations strained • 25%
No significant change in relations • 25%
Formal apology issued by Russia • 25%
Compensation agreement reached • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Severed diplomatic relations • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Enhanced military cooperation • 25%
Joint anti-terrorism operations • 25%
Increased economic collaboration • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Significant deterioration • 25%
Slight deterioration • 25%
No change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No compensation • 25%
Full compensation • 25%
Partial compensation • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Türkiye • 25%
Flights permanently suspended • 25%
Flights resumed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Flights resumed with restrictions • 25%