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Diplomatic outcome between Azerbaijan and Russia on crash by end of 2025?
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Azerbaijan•Russia•Azerbaijan Airlines•Ilham Aliyev•Russian•Grozny•Aliyev•Baku•Kazakhstan•Azerbaijani
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal apology issued by Russia • 25%
Diplomatic relations strained • 25%
Compensation agreement reached • 25%
No significant change in relations • 25%
Diplomatic statements or agreements reported by international news agencies
Story
Azerbaijan Demands Russia Admit Guilt, Compensate for Plane Crash Killing 38 in Kazakhstan
Dec 30, 2024, 10:28 AM
Azerbaijan has demanded that Russia admit guilt, punish those responsible, and provide compensation following the crash of an Azerbaijan Airlines plane on December 25, which resulted in 38 deaths. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev accused Russia of shooting down the plane with a missile, claiming it was damaged by accidental shooting over Russian airspace near Grozny. Aliyev has called for an official apology, admission of guilt, and criminal charges against those responsible. Russia has not confirmed its involvement but has promised to identify and punish those at fault for the incident, according to Azerbaijan's General Prosecutor. The plane, which was en route from Baku to Grozny, crash-landed in Kazakhstan after being hit, as per Azerbaijani claims.
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Relations worsen • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Severed diplomatic relations • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Compensation agreement • 25%
Formal apology from Russia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Bilateral agreement • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No compensation agreed • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Full compensation agreed • 25%
Partial compensation agreed • 25%
Formal protest • 25%
Diplomatic sanctions • 25%
Acceptance of findings • 25%
Other response • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Russia • 25%
Settlement • 25%
No legal action • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Azerbaijan • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%