Loading...
Market
Political Impact on Rayner's Career by 2024
3
Greater Manchester Police•Labour•Angela Rayner•Rayner•Stockport Council•HMRC•Keir Starmer•Conservative Party•James Daly
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly Positive • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Slightly Negative • 25%
Significantly Negative • 25%
Labour Party statements, election results, or reliable media reports
Story
Greater Manchester Police Drop Investigation into Angela Rayner's Tax Affairs and Council House Row
May 28, 2024, 04:43 PM
Greater Manchester Police have dropped their investigation into Labour Deputy Leader Angela Rayner's tax affairs and council house row, concluding that the allegations fall outside their remit. The investigation centered around whether Rayner owed tax on a house she sold in 2015. Both Stockport Council and HMRC have also decided to take no further action. Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer expressed his support, stating he never doubted Rayner's innocence. Rayner welcomed the conclusion, accusing the Conservative Party of using smear tactics during election campaigns. The Conservative Party Deputy Chairman James Daly had made the initial complaint, but refused to specify the allegations. Rayner has been vindicated and cleared of any criminal wrongdoing.
View original story
Similar markets
Significantly negatively affected • 25%
Slightly negatively affected • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Career positively impacted • 25%
Mostly negative • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Mostly positive • 34%
Significant positive impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Significant negative impact • 33%
Improved significantly • 25%
Improved slightly • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Worsened • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Minor loss in party support • 25%
Significant loss in party support • 25%
Party leadership change • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 33%
Decrease by more than 5% • 33%
Remain within 5% range • 34%
Leads to policy changes within the Labour Party • 33%
No significant changes within the Labour Party • 33%
Escalates into a larger political scandal • 34%
Promoted to a higher position • 25%
Maintains current position • 25%
Moves to a different role • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Positive impact • 34%
No significant impact • 33%
Negative impact on Labour's vote share • 33%
Positive impact on Labour's vote share • 33%
Increase • 33%
Decrease • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Support from at least one major political figure • 33%
Criticism from major political figures • 33%
No significant political figure commentary • 34%