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Impact of Diane Abbott controversy on Labour's polling numbers by end of 2024
5
Keir Starmer•Diane Abbott•Labour•Hackney North•Stoke Newington•Lenny Henry•Abbott•Labour National Executive Committee•NEC•Yvette Cooper•Starmer
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase • 33%
Decrease • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Polling data from reputable sources (e.g. YouGov, Ipsos MORI)
Story
Keir Starmer Allows Diane Abbott to Stand as Labour Candidate for Hackney North and Stoke Newington Amid Controversy
Jun 2, 2024, 08:07 AM
Keir Starmer has reversed his stance and allowed Diane Abbott to stand as a Labour candidate in Hackney North and Stoke Newington in the upcoming general election. This decision follows significant pressure from within the party and public figures, including Lenny Henry, who criticized the treatment of Abbott. Despite this, Abbott remains cautious and awaits official endorsement from the Labour National Executive Committee (NEC) next week. Reports have emerged that left-wing Labour MPs, including Abbott, were offered peerages to step down, a claim denied by Labour leaders such as Yvette Cooper. The controversy has been labeled an 'unwelcome distraction' by Labour figures, as it threatened to overshadow Starmer's election campaign.
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Leads to policy changes within the Labour Party • 33%
No significant changes within the Labour Party • 33%
Escalates into a larger political scandal • 34%
Increased support • 33%
Decreased support • 33%
No significant change in support • 33%
Increase by more than 5% • 33%
Decrease by more than 5% • 33%
Remain within 5% range • 34%
Resolved with an amicable agreement • 25%
Continues without resolution • 25%
Leads to broader party reforms • 25%
Causes significant party split • 25%
Support from at least one major political figure • 33%
Criticism from major political figures • 33%
No significant political figure commentary • 34%
Support the leadership's decision • 33%
Oppose the leadership's decision • 33%
No clear consensus • 34%
Labour's poll numbers increase • 50%
Labour's poll numbers decrease • 50%
Reinstated with conditions • 33%
Reinstated without conditions • 33%
Not reinstated • 34%
Increase • 50%
Decrease • 50%
No action taken • 33%
Formal warning issued • 33%
Expulsion from the party • 33%
Majority support reinstatement • 33%
Majority oppose reinstatement • 33%
Mixed/No clear majority • 34%