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Market
Party gaining most influence in Israeli government post-Otzma Yehudit resignation by end of 2025?
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Israeli National Security•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza ceasefire•Hamas•Otzma Yehudit•Jewish Power•Negev•Galilee•Yitzhak Wasserlauf•Amichai Eliyahu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Likud Party • 25%
Otzma Yehudit • 25%
Yesh Atid • 25%
Other parties • 25%
Analysis from political analysts or credible news outlets
Story
Israeli National Security Minister Ben-Gvir and Party Resign Over Gaza Ceasefire Deal
Jan 19, 2025, 08:29 AM
On January 19, 2025, Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir resigned from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government in protest over the Gaza ceasefire deal with Hamas. The ceasefire agreement includes a hostage exchange. Ben-Gvir, leader of the far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party, announced his resignation along with other party ministers, including Negev and Galilee Development Minister Yitzhak Wasserlauf and Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu. He criticized the deal as a capitulation to Hamas.
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Similar markets
Likud • 25%
Yesh Atid • 25%
Other parties • 25%
Otzma Yehudit • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Resign and Not Return • 25%
Resign and Return • 25%
Do Not Resign • 25%
Party dissolved • 25%
Itamar Ben-Gvir • 25%
New leader from current members • 25%
Temporary leadership • 25%
Join opposition • 25%
Resign and rejoin later • 25%
Remain in government • 25%
Permanently resign • 25%
Face internal party changes • 25%
Gain seats in Knesset • 25%
Lose seats in Knesset • 25%
Maintain current standing • 25%
Other party • 25%
Socialist Party • 25%
National Rally • 25%
Macron's coalition • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public opinion • 25%
Ultra-Orthodox leaders • 25%
Israeli Defense Ministry • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Resigns and remains out of government • 25%
Other political outcome • 25%
Does not resign • 25%
Resigns and rejoins government • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Other • 25%