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What will be the political fate of Itamar Ben-Gvir by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resigns and rejoins government • 25%
Resigns and remains out of government • 25%
Does not resign • 25%
Other political outcome • 25%
Official announcements or election results
Story
Ben-Gvir Threatens to Quit Netanyahu's Government Over 'Reckless' Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Deal
Jan 16, 2025, 08:02 PM
Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has threatened to resign from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government if a proposed ceasefire and hostage exchange deal with Hamas in Gaza is approved. Ben-Gvir, leader of the far-right Otzma Yehudit party, announced during a 9 PM press conference that his party would withdraw from the coalition government should the agreement proceed, labeling the deal as "reckless," "irresponsible," and "a disgrace," and arguing that it destroys all of Israel's military achievements in Gaza. He emphasized that if hostilities resume after the ceasefire, his party would consider rejoining the government. Ben-Gvir has also called for a complete halt to humanitarian aid to Gaza. The potential resignation of Ben-Gvir and his party could collapse Netanyahu’s coalition government.
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Resign and rejoin later • 25%
Join opposition • 25%
Remain in government • 25%
Permanently resign • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Resigned • 25%
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Prime Minister • 25%
Other Position • 25%
Remains PM • 25%
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Elected to a different role • 25%
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Other Outcome • 25%
Resign and Not Return • 25%
Resign and Return • 25%
Do Not Resign • 25%
Joins a new political party • 25%
Remains Prime Minister • 25%
Steps down but remains in politics • 25%
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Convicted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other • 25%
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Remains as Prime Minister • 25%
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Acquitted • 25%
Convicted on some charges • 25%
Convicted on all charges • 25%
Guilty on all charges • 25%
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Not guilty • 25%
Trial not concluded • 25%