Loading...
Market
Party Gaining Most Influence Post-Government Topple by Mar 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
National Rally • 25%
Socialist Party • 25%
Macron's coalition • 25%
Other party • 25%
Political analysis and reports from credible sources like Le Monde or AFP
Story
France's Government Faces No-Confidence Vote from Far-Right and Leftist Parties
Dec 4, 2024, 12:14 PM
France is on the brink of political upheaval as both the far-right National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen, and the leftist Socialists have announced their intention to vote against Prime Minister Michel Barnier in an upcoming no-confidence vote. This rare alignment of political extremes could lead to the toppling of the French government, an event not seen since 1962. President Emmanuel Macron's parliamentary coalition is at risk, with the potential for the government to be brought down by this unlikely coalition. The political turmoil has also raised concerns about a potential short squeeze in French stocks, as the uncertainty surrounding the vote could impact market stability. President Macron has urged lawmakers to vote for Barnier in an attempt to maintain stability.
View original story
Similar markets
Minor opposition parties • 25%
Yoon's ruling party • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
No clear advantage • 25%
Other • 25%
Marcos' allies • 25%
Duterte's allies • 25%
Opposition parties • 25%
People Power Party • 25%
Other • 25%
Democratic Party of Korea • 25%
Justice Party • 25%
VHP (Progressive Reform Party) • 25%
NDP (National Democratic Party) • 25%
Other • 25%
NPS (National Party of Suriname) • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both Equally • 25%
Other • 25%
Justice Party • 25%
People Power Party • 25%
Democratic Party of Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
BJP • 25%
AAP • 25%
Congress • 25%
Hungarian minority party (UDMR) • 25%
Far-right parties • 25%
Social Democratic Party (PSD) • 25%
National Liberal Party (PNL) • 25%
Édouard Philippe • 25%
Gabriel Attal • 25%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon • 25%
Marine Le Pen • 25%
Other • 25%
Socialist Party • 25%
La République En Marche! • 25%
National Rally • 25%
Neither • 34%
Democratic Party • 33%
Republican Party • 33%
Les Républicains • 25%
La République En Marche! • 25%
Democratic Movement (MoDem) • 25%
Other • 25%