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Market
Leadership of Otzma Yehudit party by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Itamar Ben-Gvir • 25%
New leader from current members • 25%
Temporary leadership • 25%
Party dissolved • 25%
Official party announcements and credible news sources
Story
Ben-Gvir and Otzma Yehudit Ministers Resign Over Gaza Ceasefire Deal
Jan 18, 2025, 07:40 PM
Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has resigned from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government in protest over a ceasefire and hostage exchange deal with Hamas in Gaza. Ben-Gvir, leader of the far-right Otzma Yehudit party, submitted his resignation along with other party ministers on Sunday morning, calling the agreement "disastrous", "reckless", and a threat to Israel's national security. He criticized the release of prisoners to Jerusalem and the West Bank, stating that the deal "violates all red lines" and undermines the war's successes. Despite his resignation, Ben-Gvir stated he would ensure Netanyahu remains Prime Minister.
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Similar markets
Do Not Resign • 25%
Resign and Return • 25%
Resign and Not Return • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Permanently resign • 25%
Resign and rejoin later • 25%
Remain in government • 25%
Join opposition • 25%
Likud Party • 25%
Other parties • 25%
Yesh Atid • 25%
Otzma Yehudit • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Does not resign • 25%
Resigns and remains out of government • 25%
Resigns and rejoins government • 25%
Other political outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Isaac Herzog • 25%
Yair Lapid • 25%
Benjamin Netanyahu • 25%
Other major change • 25%
Prime Minister replaced • 25%
Finance Minister replaced • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
