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Outcome of Venezuelan opposition's strategy by Jun 30, 2025?
2
Venezuela•María Corina Machado•Edmundo González Urrutia•Machado•Nicolás Maduro•González•Maduro•Venezuelan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Edmundo González returns and is sworn in • 25%
Opposition calls for new elections • 25%
Opposition forms government-in-exile • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Official announcements from the Venezuelan opposition or credible news sources
Story
María Corina Machado Delays Edmundo González Urrutia's Return Amid Maduro's 'Coup d'État'
Jan 10, 2025, 08:07 PM
Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado announced that Edmundo González Urrutia, the opposition's presidential candidate, will not return to Venezuela on January 10, 2025, to take the oath of office as president. Machado cited the activation of Venezuela's air defense system and the closure of the country's airspace by the government of Nicolás Maduro as reasons for González's delayed return. She emphasized that González will come back to Venezuela 'at the right time, when conditions are appropriate' to be sworn in as the constitutional president. Machado's statement comes in the wake of Maduro's inauguration for a third term, which she described as a consolidation of a 'coup d'état' against the Venezuelan constitution.
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Maduro remains in power • 25%
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Successful transition • 25%
Partial transition • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
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Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Protests lead to negotiations • 25%
Protests lead to increased government crackdown • 25%
Protests dissipate without significant change • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Protests subside with no change • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Protests lead to leadership change • 25%
Protests escalate into conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Edmundo González assumes presidency • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing political stalemate • 25%
González Urrutia assumes presidency • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action • 25%