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What will be the outcome of María Corina Machado's strategy for democracy in Venezuela by 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful transition • 25%
Partial transition • 25%
No transition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Verified news reports or official announcements
Story
María Corina Machado Announces Edmundo González Urrutia's Delayed Return to Venezuela Due to Safety Concerns
Jan 10, 2025, 08:00 PM
Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado announced on January 10 that Edmundo González Urrutia will not enter Venezuela today due to safety concerns. Machado stated that González Urrutia will return to Venezuela to be sworn in as the constitutional president 'at the right time,' when conditions are suitable. She emphasized that González Urrutia's integrity is crucial for the final defeat of the regime and the transition to democracy. Machado also mentioned that she had been in constant communication with González Urrutia and had advised him against returning to Venezuela on this day due to the regime's activation of the entire air defense system.
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Exiled from Venezuela • 25%
Other • 25%
Continues as a key opposition leader • 25%
Arrested and imprisoned • 25%
Leaves Venezuela • 25%
Continues public appearances • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Returns to hiding • 25%
Released unharmed • 25%
Escaped • 25%
Other • 25%
Still detained • 25%
Edmundo González returns and is sworn in • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Opposition forms government-in-exile • 25%
Opposition calls for new elections • 25%
Support for Machado • 25%
Other response • 25%
Calls for her arrest • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Remains detained • 25%
Released without charges • 25%
Unknown or other outcome • 25%
Released with charges • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Released unharmed • 25%
Still in captivity • 25%
Escaped • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Protests subside with no change • 25%
Protests lead to leadership change • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Protests escalate into conflict • 25%