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Outcome of US diplomatic efforts on Israeli strikes by June 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel refrains from striking • 25%
Israel conducts limited strikes • 25%
Israel conducts full-scale strikes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
International news agencies and official government announcements
Story
US Offers Israel Aid to Prevent Strikes on Iran Nuclear Sites, Reports Kan News
Oct 6, 2024, 06:03 PM
According to reports from Israel's Kan News (Channel 11), the United States has offered Israel a 'compensation package' consisting of extensive diplomatic backing and additional military assistance if Israel refrains from attacking certain targets in Iran. The unspecified targets that the U.S. wants Israel to avoid likely include Iranian nuclear sites and oil infrastructure. The U.S. aims to prevent an escalation of tensions in the region by dissuading Israel from striking these sensitive targets.
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Other diplomatic resolutions • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Ongoing tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
No change in tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
Military aid to Lebanon • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Partial reduction in hostilities • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No impact • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Failed ceasefire • 25%
Hostage deal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Partial de-escalation • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%