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Outcome of Sabina Shoal territorial dispute by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Controlled by Philippines • 33%
Controlled by China • 33%
Joint administration or unresolved • 34%
Decisions reported by international arbitration panels or mutual agreements between the disputing countries
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Philippine Coast Guard Blocks China's Reclamation at Sabina Shoal
May 13, 2024, 09:06 AM
The Philippine Coast Guard is actively blocking China's attempts to conduct reclamation activities at Sabina Shoal in the South China Sea, a region marked by territorial disputes. According to the Coast Guard's spokesperson, Jay Tarriela, this move is part of a broader effort to prevent China from establishing a presence that could lead to the construction of military bases on artificial islands, thereby asserting control over the area. The Philippines' commitment to maintaining a presence in these disputed waters is aimed at deterring further land reclamation by China.
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Controlled by China • 25%
Controlled by Philippines • 25%
Joint management agreement • 25%
Dispute remains unresolved • 25%
Resolution favoring China • 33%
Resolution favoring Philippines • 33%
Continued dispute without clear resolution • 34%
Controlled by China • 33%
Controlled by Philippines • 33%
Joint management • 34%
Controlled by China • 25%
Controlled by the Philippines • 25%
Jointly managed • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 33%
Continued military standoff • 33%
Escalation into armed conflict • 34%
Diplomatic Agreement • 33%
Military Confrontation • 33%
Ongoing Dispute • 34%
Condemnation • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Support • 33%
Controlled by China • 33%
Controlled by the Philippines • 33%
Joint administration • 34%
Ban lifted • 33%
Ban maintained with modifications • 33%
Ban strictly enforced without changes • 34%