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International tribunal intervenes in Sabina Shoal dispute by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public announcements from relevant international legal bodies such as the International Court of Justice
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Philippine Coast Guard Blocks China's Reclamation at Sabina Shoal
May 13, 2024, 09:06 AM
The Philippine Coast Guard is actively blocking China's attempts to conduct reclamation activities at Sabina Shoal in the South China Sea, a region marked by territorial disputes. According to the Coast Guard's spokesperson, Jay Tarriela, this move is part of a broader effort to prevent China from establishing a presence that could lead to the construction of military bases on artificial islands, thereby asserting control over the area. The Philippines' commitment to maintaining a presence in these disputed waters is aimed at deterring further land reclamation by China.
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Controlled by China • 25%
Controlled by Philippines • 25%
Joint management agreement • 25%
Dispute remains unresolved • 25%
High-profile campaign • 33%
Moderate mention • 33%
No significant action • 33%
USA • 25%
Australia • 25%
Japan • 25%
India • 25%
Condemnation • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Support • 33%
Significant restoration • 33%
Moderate restoration • 33%
No significant change • 34%