Loading...
Market
Outcome of Orano's negotiations with Nigerien junta by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Orano regains full control • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Nigerien junta maintains control • 25%
Mine operations suspended • 25%
Official statements from Orano or the Nigerien government
Story
French Nuclear Group Orano Loses Control of SOMAÏR Uranium Mine in Niger as Military Junta Takes Over
Dec 4, 2024, 10:22 AM
French nuclear group Orano has announced that Niger's military junta has taken operational control of its uranium mining subsidiary, SOMAÏR (Société des Mines de l'Air), in the West African country. Decisions taken at SOMAÏR's board meetings are no longer being applied, according to Orano, which holds a 64% stake in the company. The Nigerien representatives confirmed their position during an ordinary board meeting held on Tuesday, December 3, 2024, effectively limiting Orano's influence over the mine's operations.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions imposed on Niger • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Agreement reached with Orano regaining control • 25%
Permanent nationalization by Niger • 25%
Joint operation agreement • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Economic Aid Agreement • 25%
Military Cooperation Agreement • 25%
Humanitarian Aid Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Regain rights fully • 25%
Regain rights partially • 25%
Do not regain rights • 25%
Announce withdrawal from Niger • 25%
New Agreement Reached • 25%
Stalemate Continues • 25%
Negotiations Collapse • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Significant increase (>10%) • 25%
Moderate increase (5-10%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in prices • 25%