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Orano regains control of SOMAÏR uranium mine by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Orano or the Nigerien government
Story
French Nuclear Group Orano Loses Control of SOMAÏR Uranium Mine in Niger as Military Junta Takes Over
Dec 4, 2024, 10:22 AM
French nuclear group Orano has announced that Niger's military junta has taken operational control of its uranium mining subsidiary, SOMAÏR (Société des Mines de l'Air), in the West African country. Decisions taken at SOMAÏR's board meetings are no longer being applied, according to Orano, which holds a 64% stake in the company. The Nigerien representatives confirmed their position during an ordinary board meeting held on Tuesday, December 3, 2024, effectively limiting Orano's influence over the mine's operations.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Agreement reached with Orano regaining control • 25%
Permanent nationalization by Niger • 25%
Joint operation agreement • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Niger • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Regain rights fully • 25%
Regain rights partially • 25%
Do not regain rights • 25%
Announce withdrawal from Niger • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Current majority stakeholder • 25%
Switch • 25%
New investor • 25%
No majority stakeholder • 25%