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Outcome of next ceasefire negotiations by Oct 31, 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire accepted by all parties • 33%
Ceasefire rejected by Israel • 33%
Ceasefire rejected by Hamas • 33%
Official statements from negotiating parties or credible international news agencies
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Hamas Accepts Egypt-Qatar Ceasefire; Israel Rejects Terms Amid Rafah Tensions
May 6, 2024, 05:22 PM
Hamas has agreed to a ceasefire proposal brokered by Egypt and Qatar, aiming to halt the seven-month-long conflict with Israel. The agreement was communicated by Ismail Haniyeh, the head of Hamas's political bureau, through a phone call with Qatar's Prime Minister and Egypt's intelligence chief. This development follows Israel's order for the evacuation of about 100,000 residents from Rafah, anticipating a military operation. Israel, however, has rejected the ceasefire terms proposed.
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Accepted by Hamas • 33%
Rejected by Hamas • 33%
Deadline extended • 34%
Full Acceptance • 33%
Partial Acceptance • 33%
Rejection • 33%
Complete ceasefire observed • 33%
Partial ceasefire observed • 33%
No ceasefire observed • 34%
Hamas accepts truce • 33%
Israel accepts truce • 33%
Both accept truce • 34%
New ceasefire agreement • 33%
Prisoner exchange deal • 33%
No significant agreement • 33%
Successful ceasefire • 33%
Temporary truce • 33%
No agreement reached • 34%
Ceasefire extended • 33%
Ceasefire ended • 33%
Ceasefire on hold • 33%
Ceasefire • 33%
Escalation of conflict • 33%
Status quo • 34%
Ceasefire with negotiations ongoing • 25%
Complete ceasefire and hostages released • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%