Loading...
Market
Outcome of Lebanese investigation into Mahan Air flight by April 30, 2025?
3
Iran•Hezbollah•Mahan Air•Tehran•Beirut•Western•Iranian•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Rafic Hariri International Airport•Lebanese
Resolution / Starting Odds
Funds confiscated • 25%
No funds found • 25%
Funds returned to Iran • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Official statements from Lebanese authorities or credible news agencies reporting on the investigation outcome
Story
Iran Attempts to Transfer Millions to Hezbollah Via Mahan Air, Prompting Beirut Airport Inspection
Jan 3, 2025, 03:15 AM
Iran is reportedly attempting to transfer millions of dollars to Hezbollah via a Mahan Air flight from Tehran to Beirut, according to Western sources cited by Saudi Al-Hadath. The flight, operated by the sanctioned Iranian airline linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), was the subject of heightened security measures at Beirut's Rafic Hariri International Airport. Lebanese security officials conducted a thorough inspection of the plane and its passengers, suspecting it of carrying funds for Hezbollah. Amid the inspection, a diplomatic bag from the Iranian embassy, which contained documents and cash intended for embassy operations, was initially barred from entry but later allowed in following diplomatic communications. The situation led to tensions at the airport, with reports of protests by Hezbollah supporters and a state of alert being declared. Lebanese authorities have stated that any suspicious funds found on the plane would be confiscated by the state.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sanctions or restrictions imposed • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Iranian government • 25%
Other international entity • 25%
Lebanese government • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Russia found responsible • 25%
Cause remains undetermined • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Intentional attack • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Russian military fault • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Russia cleared of responsibility • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Russia admits guilt • 25%
Russia denies involvement • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Joint responsibility acknowledged • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Azerbaijan • 25%
International aviation authority • 25%
Russia • 25%
Kazakhstan • 25%
Russia found responsible • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%