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Outcome of Israel's demand for Hezbollah withdrawal by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hezbollah withdraws • 25%
Israel takes military action • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Official statements or major international news agencies
Story
Israel Defense Minister Katz Warns No Agreement Without Hezbollah Withdrawal Beyond the Litani River
Jan 5, 2025, 10:13 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has issued a warning regarding Hezbollah's presence in southern Lebanon, stating that if the militant group does not withdraw beyond the Litani River, there will be no agreement, and Israel will be compelled to take independent action. Katz emphasized that the complete withdrawal of Hezbollah is a prerequisite for any agreement to be realized. He reiterated that the implementation of the agreement is in Israel's interest, and the country will continue to enforce it fully. This statement comes amid ongoing tensions in the region, highlighting the critical nature of Hezbollah's withdrawal for peace negotiations.
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Ceasefire collapses • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
New agreement • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Ceasefire violated • 25%
No Withdrawal • 25%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
Complete Withdrawal • 25%
Withdrawal with Conditions • 25%
Hostages released and rocket attacks ceased • 25%
Only hostages released • 25%
Neither demands met • 25%
Only rocket attacks ceased • 25%
Escalates conflict • 25%
Ignores ultimatum • 25%
Negotiates new terms • 25%
Complies with demands • 25%
Escalation into war • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased tensions and conflict • 25%
Successful prevention • 25%
Partial prevention • 25%
