Loading...
Market
Outcome of investigation into Eilat drone attack by Mar 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed Islamic Resistance in Iraq • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other group identified • 25%
No responsible party identified • 25%
Official investigation reports from Israeli authorities, credible news agencies
Story
IDF Intercepts Iran-Backed Militants' Drone Attack on Eilat, Israel
Nov 17, 2024, 10:20 PM
The Iran-backed Islamic Resistance in Iraq has claimed responsibility for launching a drone targeting Israel's southernmost city, Eilat, this morning. The incident occurred early in the morning, with sirens sounding in Eilat at 6 a.m. as the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) detected the drone approaching from the east. The Israeli Air Force (IAF) intercepted the unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) before it could cross into Israeli territory. Multiple interceptors were launched at the target, and one of the interceptors fell in the area, but no casualties have been reported. The Islamic Resistance in Iraq released a video purportedly showing their drone attack against a 'vital target' in Eilat. An investigation into the incident is underway.
View original story
Similar markets
Identified Hezbollah as the perpetrator • 25%
Identified another group as the perpetrator • 25%
Unable to identify perpetrator • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Confirmed Direct Iraqi Government Involvement • 25%
Confirmed Non-State Actor Involvement • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other Findings • 25%
Technical failure identified • 25%
Human error identified • 25%
Both technical and human error • 25%
No clear cause identified • 25%
Hezbollah confirmed responsible • 25%
Other group confirmed responsible • 25%
No group confirmed responsible • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Iran confirmed involved • 25%
Hezbollah confirmed involved • 25%
Other group involved • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Insufficient intelligence • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
External interference • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Israel justified the strike • 25%
Strike deemed unlawful • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military defenses • 25%
Changes in military leadership • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Violation of international law • 25%
Justified military action • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
System overload • 25%
Classified/undisclosed • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Enhanced missile defense systems • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%