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Outcome of IDF investigation into drone detection failure by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
External interference • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Official statement from the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
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Houthi Drone Attack in Tel Aviv Kills One, Injures at Least 10, Including Lightly Wounded
Jul 19, 2024, 04:48 AM
An explosive-laden drone struck central Tel Aviv overnight, killing one Israeli man and injuring at least 10 others, including seven who were lightly wounded. The Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen claimed responsibility for the attack, identifying the drone used as the 'Yafa'. The explosion occurred near the United States Embassy Office, and no warning sirens had sounded prior to the attack. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) are investigating why the drone was not detected by air defenses. The incident is under thorough review, and air force patrols have been increased in response.
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Technical failure identified • 25%
Human error identified • 25%
Both technical and human error • 25%
No clear cause identified • 25%
Identified Hezbollah as the perpetrator • 25%
Identified another group as the perpetrator • 25%
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Investigation ongoing • 25%
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Infiltration by external agents • 25%
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Other group identified • 25%
No responsible party identified • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Insufficient intelligence • 25%
Other • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Confirmed Direct Iraqi Government Involvement • 25%
Confirmed Non-State Actor Involvement • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
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Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
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System overload • 25%
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IDF found at fault • 25%
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