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What will be the outcome of the investigation into the drone attack on Netanyahu by end of June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Iran confirmed involved • 25%
Hezbollah confirmed involved • 25%
Other group involved • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Official Israeli government reports or credible news sources
Story
Iran Denies Connection to Hezbollah Drone Attack, Assassination Attempt on Netanyahu
Oct 19, 2024, 08:05 PM
Iran's delegation to the United Nations has denied any connection between Tehran and the drone attack that targeted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's residence. This statement comes after Netanyahu alleged that Iran and its proxy Hezbollah were behind the attack, which he described as an attempt to assassinate him and his wife. The Iranian UN mission reiterated that Iran has no links to the incident, rejecting any such statements.
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Hezbollah confirmed responsible • 25%
Other group confirmed responsible • 25%
No group confirmed responsible • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Drone identified and confirmed as Hezbollah • 25%
Drone identified but not confirmed as Hezbollah • 25%
Drone not identified • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Confirmed Islamic Resistance in Iraq • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other group identified • 25%
No responsible party identified • 25%
Identified Hezbollah as the perpetrator • 25%
Identified another group as the perpetrator • 25%
Unable to identify perpetrator • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Confirmed Direct Iraqi Government Involvement • 25%
Confirmed Non-State Actor Involvement • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other Findings • 25%
Technical failure identified • 25%
Human error identified • 25%
Both technical and human error • 25%
No clear cause identified • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Enhanced missile defense systems • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military action against Hezbollah • 25%
Diplomatic measures against Iran • 25%
Increased security measures in Israel • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Netanyahu cleared of any wrongdoing • 25%
Netanyahu found directly responsible • 25%
Aides found responsible, Netanyahu not implicated • 25%
Case remains unresolved • 25%
Confirmed attack by Iran • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Dismissed as false • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israeli involvement confirmed • 25%
Israeli involvement denied • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Investigation not completed • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Insufficient intelligence • 25%
Other • 25%