Loading...
Market
Outcome of German-Russian Diplomatic Relations Post-2023 Cyberattack
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Eased tensions through dialogue • 33%
Continued escalation and further conflicts • 33%
Neutral with no significant change • 34%
Official diplomatic statements or credible international news sources
Story
Germany Accuses Russia of 2023 Cyberattack on SPD, Defence Sectors
May 3, 2024, 11:05 AM
Germany has formally accused Russia of orchestrating a cyberattack in 2023 targeting the Social Democratic Party (SPD), which is part of the governing coalition. German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock stated that the attack was carried out by Russian military intelligence, specifically the GRU, and involved state-sponsored hackers from the APT28 group. The cyberattack targeted not only the SPD but also the defence and aerospace sectors, and was described as an unacceptable act of interference in Germany's domestic affairs. In response, Germany has warned of consequences and has taken diplomatic steps by summoning the acting Russian ambassador to express its concerns. Additionally, the German government has called on Russia to cease such cyber activities.
View original story
Similar markets
High-level diplomatic talks • 33%
Temporary suspension of diplomatic relations • 33%
Formal complaint through international bodies • 34%
Improved • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Severed • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continuation of current status • 25%
Reduction in hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Additional diplomat recalls • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
No further actions • 25%
Worsened • 33%
Unchanged • 33%
Improved • 33%
Sanctions • 33%
Diplomatic Expulsion • 33%
No Direct Action • 34%
Mutual agreement to de-escalate • 33%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 33%
No significant changes • 34%
Increased sanctions • 33%
Military skirmishes • 33%
Diplomatic resolution • 33%
Increased Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%
New Peace Negotiations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partial improvement • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%