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Outcome of International Response to Sevastopol Incident by End of 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%
New Peace Negotiations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Public statements from governments and outcomes of international meetings
Story
Russian Forces Repel Ukrainian Missile, Extinguish Fire on Vessel in Sevastopol
Apr 21, 2024, 07:24 AM
Russian forces reportedly repelled an anti-ship missile attack on one of its vessels in the Crimean port of Sevastopol, according to the Russian-installed governor of the region. Reports indicate that the missile strike, allegedly originating from Ukrainian forces, targeted a vessel in occupied Crimea. Explosions were heard, and although there was a small fire resulting from missile fragments, it was quickly extinguished. The exact nature of the vessel hit remains unclear, with conflicting reports about whether it was a warship.
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No significant change • 25%
New Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Increased Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Military Support for Russia • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Peacekeeping Forces Deployed • 25%
Negotiations / Peace Talks • 25%
No Change / Continued Conflict • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 33%
Increased Diplomatic Engagement • 33%
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Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Support for Russia • 25%
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UN Peacekeeping Mission • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
New Peace Talks • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Direct military support for Ukraine by NATO • 25%
Peacekeeping mission initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased sanctions against Russia • 25%
Direct military support for Ukraine by other nations • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations without further sanctions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continuation of current status • 25%
Reduction in hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
UN condemnation • 33%
NATO military support • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
UN condemnation • 25%
NATO military response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased support to Ukraine • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 34%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 33%
Diplomatic Talks • 33%