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Outcome of geopolitical negotiations involving North Korea by end of 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
New peace talks announced • 33%
Escalation of tensions • 33%
Status quo maintained • 34%
Official diplomatic communiqués and international summit outcomes
Story
North Korea Fires Ballistic Missile Towards Sea of Japan
Apr 22, 2024, 06:10 AM
North Korea has conducted a ballistic missile test, launching at least one missile towards the Sea of Japan. The missile was fired off North Korea's east coast and has already fallen into the sea, as confirmed by South Korea's military and the Japan Coast Guard. This incident has been reported by multiple sources including AP, NHK, and South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff.
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De-escalation through talks • 25%
Continued military standoff • 25%
Minor skirmishes • 25%
Escalation to armed conflict • 25%
De-escalation • 33%
Continued escalation • 33%
Stalemate • 33%
UN mediation • 34%
US mediation • 33%
No mediation • 33%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Existing sanctions strengthened • 25%
No change • 25%
Resolution vetoed • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Significant Ukrainian gains • 25%
Significant Russian gains • 25%
Negotiated peace settlement • 25%
Yes, initiated by South Korea • 33%
Yes, initiated by North Korea • 33%
No new talks • 34%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Major escalation • 25%
Resolution agreement • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Economic cooperation agreement • 25%
No Response • 25%
Formal Protest • 25%
Economic Retaliation • 25%
Military Demonstration • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continuation of current status • 25%
Reduction in hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Further missile tests • 33%
Diplomatic engagement • 33%
No further actions • 34%