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Outcome of NK-SK escalation by Dec 31, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
De-escalation • 33%
Continued escalation • 33%
Stalemate • 33%
Official statements from both governments, verified news reports
Story
Kim Yo Jong Warns South Korea Over Loudspeaker Broadcasts
Jun 9, 2024, 10:47 PM
The influential sister of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, Kim Yo Jong, has issued a warning of new responses against South Korea if it continues with loudspeaker broadcasts and scattering leaflets. This comes after South Korea resumed loudspeaker propaganda broadcasts at the heavily militarized border between the two countries for the first time in years. Kim Yo Jong described these acts as dangerous and has vowed to retaliate if they persist. Tensions between the two nations remain high as North Korea has reportedly started installing speakers of their own.
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De-escalation through talks • 25%
Continued military standoff • 25%
Minor skirmishes • 25%
Escalation to armed conflict • 25%
New peace talks announced • 33%
Escalation of tensions • 33%
Status quo maintained • 34%
De-escalation • 34%
Increased tension • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Peace agreement reached • 33%
Conflict ongoing • 33%
Conflict escalated • 33%
Diplomatic measures • 33%
Military measures • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Economic cooperation agreement • 25%
Resolution passed • 33%
Resolution not passed • 33%
No action taken • 33%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Existing sanctions strengthened • 25%
No change • 25%
Resolution vetoed • 25%
Denial of incident • 25%
Condemnation of South Korea • 25%
No official response • 25%
Request for talks • 25%