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Outcome of diplomatic discussions by December 31?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolution in favor of China • 33%
Resolution in favor of Philippines • 33%
No formal resolution • 33%
Official government statements or verified news reports
Story
China Accuses Philippine Personnel of Pointing Guns at Coast Guard Near Second Thomas Shoal
Jun 2, 2024, 07:32 AM
China has accused Philippine personnel of pointing guns at its Coast Guard officers in disputed waters. The incident reportedly occurred near the Second Thomas Shoal, where at least two individuals on a Philippine warship were observed carrying and pointing firearms in the direction of the China Coast Guard. Footage of the event has been released by CGTN, showing the armed personnel. CCTV also reported that the personnel were on a disputed reef. The Chinese authorities have described their response as lawful and justified.
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Resolution through negotiation • 33%
No resolution • 33%
Escalation of tensions • 34%
Resolution favoring China • 33%
Resolution favoring Philippines • 33%
Continued dispute without clear resolution • 34%
Ceasefire agreement • 33%
Peace negotiations initiated • 33%
No significant diplomatic progress • 34%
Diplomatic Agreement • 33%
Military Confrontation • 33%
Ongoing Dispute • 34%
Public support for the Philippines • 25%
Public support for China • 25%
Calls for peaceful resolution • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
No action • 33%
Joint investigation • 33%
Diplomatic protest • 34%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
Request for compensation • 25%
No official action • 25%
Strengthened ties with China • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
China apologizes • 33%
China denies accusations • 33%
Third-party investigation • 33%
Support from USA • 25%
Support from Japan • 25%
Support from Australia • 25%
No significant international support • 25%
Ban lifted • 33%
Ban maintained with modifications • 33%
Ban strictly enforced without changes • 34%