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Market
International reaction to Philippine-China tensions by end of 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Public support for the Philippines • 25%
Public support for China • 25%
Calls for peaceful resolution • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Public statements from major global entities (UN, ASEAN, USA, EU)
Story
Philippines Opens New Coast Guard Station Near Taiwan Amid Rising China Tensions
May 24, 2024, 07:58 AM
The Philippines has opened a new coast guard station on an island near Taiwan to increase surveillance over an area that has seen a military buildup and frequent presence of Chinese vessels. This move comes amid rising tensions between the Philippines and China over the South China Sea. On May 24, Philippine Defense Secretary Gibo Teodoro criticized China's new coast guard regulations as a provocation and a matter of international concern. The Philippines has downplayed China's new regulations as mere scare tactics, while Chinese FM spokesperson Wang Wenbin expressed a lack of awareness about the new station but hoped for peaceful relations. Concerns about Chinese 'cognitive warfare' were also raised in the Philippines.
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Sanctions against China • 25%
Sanctions against Philippines • 25%
Diplomatic mediation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Support for China • 25%
Support for Philippines • 25%
Neutral or no clear support • 25%
Escalation involving other nations • 25%
Sanctions on China • 33%
Sanctions on Philippines • 33%
No Sanctions • 34%
Diplomatic protest • 33%
Militarized response • 33%
No significant response • 34%
Support from USA • 25%
Support from Japan • 25%
Support from Australia • 25%
No significant international support • 25%
Support for Philippines • 25%
Neutral or no response • 25%
Support for China • 25%
Divided responses among international actors • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic Agreement • 33%
Military Confrontation • 33%
Ongoing Dispute • 34%
Increased support for Philippines • 25%
Neutral stance maintained • 25%
Support for China • 25%
No change in current positions • 25%
Broad condemnation of the incident • 25%
Support for China's actions • 25%
Neutral or no comment • 25%
Calls for international investigation • 25%
China apologizes • 33%
China denies accusations • 33%
Third-party investigation • 33%
