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Outcome of Denmark-U.S. discussions on Greenland security by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
Joint security measures • 25%
No change in current status • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official announcements from Danish and U.S. governments
Story
Denmark Discusses Greenland Security and U.S. Military Presence Amid Trump's Acquisition Threats
Jan 11, 2025, 01:16 PM
Denmark has sent private messages to the team of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, expressing a willingness to discuss enhancing security measures in Greenland or increasing the U.S. military presence on the island. This move comes in response to Trump's repeated statements about wanting to acquire Greenland, a semi-autonomous territory of Denmark, for national security purposes, including not ruling out the use of military force. The Danish government aims to address Trump's security concerns without ceding control of the island. The discussions are part of an effort to avoid a public confrontation with the incoming U.S. administration, as Trump is set to take office on January 20.
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Reduced U.S. presence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased U.S. presence • 25%
Denmark increases own military presence • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
Denmark rejects U.S. proposal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. expands military presence • 25%
Greenland sold to U.S. • 25%
Enhanced security agreement • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New cooperation agreement • 25%
Greenland independence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Third-party mediation • 25%
U.S.-Denmark agreement on Greenland • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Denmark strengthens defense of Greenland • 25%
Denmark retains control without negotiations • 25%
US acquires Greenland • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
